59 million votes already cast as Florida heads to the polls

More than 59 million Americans have already cast ballots ahead of the November 3 general election. That figure represents nearly half of the total votes recorded in the previous midterm cycle. Voting officially ends today, shifting the national focus from polling to results.

Available data shows Democrats holding a double-digit advantage in early voting. The party is favored to win the House of Representatives. To secure control, Democrats need to flip only three seats from current Republican hands.

Republicans attempted to protect their majority through rare mid-decade redistricting. However, the shift in the political landscape over the past month has favored the Democratic side. The outcome in the House depends heavily on how many Republican voters show up in person on Election Day.

The Senate race remains uncertain. Democrats must flip four seats to gain control of the chamber, a scenario that seemed unlikely at the start of this cycle. Strong Democratic candidates and a difficult national environment for Republicans have made that outcome possible.

Democrats are currently favored to take the open seat in North Carolina. Beyond that, the remaining races are either toss-ups or slight Republican favorites. These contests are largely in states that Donald Trump won by double digits in 2024.

Michigan is the top target for Republicans. Winning that state would change the math for Democrats. High Republican turnout could limit Democrats to a single pickup in the Senate. Conversely, low Republican participation could cost the party up to six or seven seats, handing control to Democrats.

Results will begin arriving at 6 p.m. ET from Kentucky and Indiana. Many races are expected to be close, meaning final counts could take days or even weeks to complete.